Weekly Stock Challenge 9/15/2006 - Win Free Trading Book

Discussion in 'Weekly stock picking challenge' started by Thierry Martin, Sep 9, 2006.

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  1. big_bear_yeah

    big_bear_yeah Member won penny contest 2x

  2. big_bear_yeah

    big_bear_yeah Member won penny contest 2x

    new to this board. not sure if I posted in right area..

    by stock for the week.. EBOF
     
  3. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    Nah, anything that develops off the African coast at this time of year will curve Northward much like Flo did. You would need something to develop in the Caribbean to have any chance of affecting the Gulf.
     
  4. Borden_john

    Borden_john Member

    Whops i thought this was to pick the biggest loser for the week, if that was the case i would be winning!:mrgreen:
     
  5. Thierry Martin

    Thierry Martin supreme commander won penny contest 2x weekly contest winner simulator winner 5x

    You can always short a stock
     
  6. Thierry Martin

    Thierry Martin supreme commander won penny contest 2x weekly contest winner simulator winner 5x


    You must enter before the market open on Monday.
     
  7. Thierry Martin

    Thierry Martin supreme commander won penny contest 2x weekly contest winner simulator winner 5x

    Hey, come on guys, that's pretty lousy! :eek:

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    Last edited: Mar 22, 2014
  8. MoMoney4Me

    MoMoney4Me Member won weekly contest 7x

    Virtually every tropical disturbance that devleops into a hurricane in the Caribbean originates coming off the western African coasts. And September is most often the peak of hurricane season.
     
  9. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    And virtually every system that develops early off the African coast at this time of year recurves to the North, just like Gordon is doing:

    http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200607_climo.html#a_topad

    http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200606_climo.html#a_topad

    How many do you see heading to the Gulf?
     
  10. Svenwulf

    Svenwulf Active Member won weekly contest 2x

    i agree that we have weather conditions forcing any african activity to recurve north- Ernie, Flo, Gordy. but i disagree this is normal. also the southern caribean has been pretty quiet. just take a look at storm archives, and unfortunatley september is the month historically with the most nasty ones. I do not wish pain, suffering or loss toward any, and i feel a company like fuel actually do a good service by helping those in distress, as opposed to profiting from desperate people. jmo,and glad you enjoyed the link.
     
  11. Svenwulf

    Svenwulf Active Member won weekly contest 2x

    the sad part is its still better than my real stuff this week- OOOWWWIIIEE!
     
  12. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    Here is last years; notice no Sept storms that originated near Africa above 20 degrees went to the Gulf

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2005.asp

    Here's 2004; (Ivan was well below 20 degrees)

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2004.asp

    2003;

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2003.asp

    2002;

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2002.asp

    2001;

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2001.asp

    2000;

    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at2000.asp

    Looks like a trend to me; Tropical systems above 20 degress latitude off the coast of Africa normally go NNW then N. Systems that develop between 10 and 15 degrees have a much better chance at making it to the Caribbean.

    Forgive my zealousness on the subject, I've been a Floridian studying tropical activity since 1985, which does not make me an expert by any means, but I do know where to research them, and as such (knock on wood) I've never had to evacuate, sometimes just lucky, but luck doesn't usually last for 21 years;)
     
  13. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    Before you get ready to nail me on TD 8, remember it is at 12.5N ...in the 10-15 degree area I mentioned, It has based on past history a better than average shot of impacting the US (assuming development), however none have taken the Gulf route, which is what I watch for in relation to oil speculation.

    http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200608_climo.html#a_topad
     
  14. Svenwulf

    Svenwulf Active Member won weekly contest 2x

    excellent rigor. i still do not see these 2 facts being mutually exclusive. basically i see a lot of activity this september, and an unusual amount of that activity forming above the 20 lat. with everyone writing hurricanes off already, i just see any development in the sweet spot (td8) as an opportunity for profit. jmo, and again, thanks for the info!

    ps- interested in sources for weather modeling. any help/links appreciated in advance. i like the noaa because i view it as as close to the source as possible, but it can be unfriendly for casual user.

    pss- imo it is always better to be lucky than good.
     
  15. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    Svenwulf, I just noticed that link you mentioned...funny, it is one of the tabs I always have open on my laptop during the summer (along with weatherunderground) the satellite loops are excellent tools for spotting developing activity before the general media.
     
  16. Thierry Martin

    Thierry Martin supreme commander won penny contest 2x weekly contest winner simulator winner 5x

  17. MoMoney4Me

    MoMoney4Me Member won weekly contest 7x

    TonyM,
    After studying your posts and doing a little more research on my own, I agree you are right and I stand corrected. I jumped the gun on this one.
     
  18. chriscoop

    chriscoop New Member weekly contest winner

  19. TonyM

    TonyM Active Member weekly contest winner

    No worries, just sharing information;)
     
  20. Thierry Martin

    Thierry Martin supreme commander won penny contest 2x weekly contest winner simulator winner 5x

    Neck and neck - it's not usually this close.

    Picture-1.gif
     
    Last edited: Mar 22, 2014
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