Short Term Technical Analysis for Majors (11:00 GMT)
Correction off 1.2142, 19 May yearly low, stalled at 1.2671, just above 50% retracement of 1.3093/1.2142 downleg on Friday, ahead of reversal. Today’s loss of 1.2469/55 supports and break of trendline support, now confirms the lower ceiling at 1.2599 and turns focus to 1.2294 initially. Break here would expose 1.2257 and possible full retracement of the 1.2142/1.2671 ascend, on a break. Upside, regain of 1.2597 provides relief, but sustained break above 1.2671 would resume recovery.
The pair is potentially in the final phase of a correction off the recent 1.4250 low, posted on 17 May. Scope is now seen for a lower high to form, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 1.4250/30 support zone, would confirm negative medium-term bias and open way towards 1.3500 zone.
Remains in corrective/consolidative mode off 88.95, 20 May low, ahead of fresh weakness. Break below 89.50, trendline support, and 88.95, will signal next push lower to test 88.35, trendline off 84.80, Nov 09 key low. Upside, 90.93, 50% retrace of 92.95/88.95 decline, is expected to cap.
Structure remains solid as the market climbs to challenge a long-term falling trendline at 1.1785. Current push above last weeks 1.1584 high now opening up 1.1675 next. Only below 1.1449/17 would risk a stronger correction towards 1.1266.